Cláudio Nardo vs Gabriel Vinicius
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-5-0Record8-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'0"
-Reach-
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Dojo SamuraiTeamCerrado MMA· 1629 avg Elo · 8 rated
What's at stake
Gabriel Vinicius is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +17 while a loss costs more — Cláudio Nardo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1590
If they lose-11→ 1558
If they win+17→ 1687
If they lose-31→ 1639
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1539 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1495 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Cláudio NardoGabriel Vinicius
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gabriel Vinicius63%
Cláudio Nardo 37%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Gabriel Vinicius a 63% favorite over Cláudio Nardo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Gabriel Vinicius holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1670 to 1569, a 101-point edge.
Gabriel Vinicius enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Cláudio Nardo finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Gabriel Vinicius 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.