CM Punk vs Ebrahem Mahmoud
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-1-0Record0-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'0"
73"Reach75''
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Roufusport· 1685 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamDiesel Fighting Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+23→ 1502
If they lose-25→ 1454
If they win+25→ 1496
If they lose-23→ 1448
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1550 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Combat Edge model read
Ebrahem Mahmoud63%
CM Punk 37%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Ebrahem Mahmoud a 63% favorite over CM Punk in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans CM Punk's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1479 vs 1471), separated by just 8 points.
Ebrahem Mahmoud carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.