CM Punk vs Jorge Chacon
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-1-0Record0-1-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height5'10"
73"Reach-
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Roufusport· 1700 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeam
What's at stake
Jorge Chacon is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — CM Punk carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1480
If they lose-22→ 1432
If they win+22→ 1500
If they lose-26→ 1452
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1502 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
CM PunkJorge Chacon
Combat Edge model read
Jorge Chacon83%
CM Punk 17%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Jorge Chacon a 83% favorite over CM Punk in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Jorge Chacon holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1478 to 1454, a 24-point edge.
CM Punk enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.