Combat Edge Intelligence

Coby Bradford vs Maurice Smith

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Coby Bradford
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Coby Bradford

“The Candyman”

6-4-0MiddleweightPFL

1539Average

Tale of the tape

6-4-0Record12-14-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'2"
-ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight206 lbs
Longview MMATeamThe Alliance

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Coby BradfordNow 1539
If they win+16→ 1555
If they lose-16→ 1523
Maurice SmithNow 1545
If they win+12→ 1557
If they lose-12→ 1533

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1509 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.41
TBD
Strike accuracy
47%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.47
TBD
Strike defense
60%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.89
TBD
Takedown accuracy
50%
TBD
Takedown defense
20%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.89

Trajectory

Coby BradfordMaurice Smith
1500155020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (33%)
KO/TKO
7 (58%)
4 (67%)
Submission
2 (17%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Coby Bradford63%
Maurice Smith 37%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Coby Bradford a 63% favorite over Maurice Smith in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Maurice Smith's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1539 vs 1545), separated by just 6 points.

Coby Bradford finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Maurice Smith 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.