Cody Donovan vs Nick Penner
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-5-0Record11-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Grudge Training CenterTeamFrank Lee's Muay Thai
What's at stake
Nick Penner is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Cody Donovan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1592
If they lose-14→ 1560
If they win+14→ 1635
If they lose-18→ 1603
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1553 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Cody DonovanNick Penner
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cody Donovan55%
Nick Penner 45%Elo baseline: 43%
The Combat Edge model makes Cody Donovan a 55% favorite over Nick Penner in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nick Penner's way (43%).
Nick Penner holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1621 to 1574, a 47-point edge.
Cody Donovan enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Nick Penner enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Cody Donovan finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Nick Penner 82%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.