Cody Durden vs Joshua Van
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-10-1Record17-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'5"
67"Reach65"
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
American Top Team AtlantaTeam4oz. Fight Club
What's at stake
Joshua Van is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Cody Durden carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1654
If they lose-7→ 1630
If they win+9→ 1809
If they lose-23→ 1777
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1673 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1694 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cody DurdenJoshua Van
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joshua Van92%
Cody Durden 8%Elo baseline: 72%
The Combat Edge model makes Joshua Van a 92% favorite over Cody Durden in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).
Joshua Van holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1800 to 1637, a 163-point edge.
Joshua Van enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Cody Durden finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Joshua Van 65%.
Cody Durden and Joshua Van share 2 common opponents: Bruno Silva and Charles Johnson.
Cody Durden carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.