Cody Durden vs Joshua Van
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-11-1Record17-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'5"
67"Reach65"
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
American Top Team AtlantaTeam4oz. Fight Club· 1653 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
Joshua Van is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Cody Durden carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1643
If they lose-6→ 1619
If they win+9→ 1810
If they lose-23→ 1778
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1676 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1696 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cody DurdenJoshua Van
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joshua Van92%
Cody Durden 8%Elo baseline: 73%
The Combat Edge model makes Joshua Van a 92% favorite over Cody Durden in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (73%).
Joshua Van holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1801 to 1625, a 176-point edge.
Joshua Van enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Cody Durden finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Joshua Van 65%.
Cody Durden and Joshua Van share 1 common opponent: Bruno Silva.
Cody Durden carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.