Cody Durden vs Marciano Ferreira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-11-1Record15-5-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'6"
67"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight126 lbs
American Top Team AtlantaTeamTeam Lucas Mineiro· 1649 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1637
If they lose-12→ 1613
If they win+16→ 1642
If they lose-16→ 1610
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1678 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Cody DurdenMarciano Ferreira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cody Durden63%
Marciano Ferreira 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Cody Durden a 63% favorite over Marciano Ferreira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Marciano Ferreira's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1625 vs 1626), separated by just 1 points.
Cody Durden finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Marciano Ferreira 53%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.