Cody Durden vs Matt Schnell
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-11-1Record17-11-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'8"
67"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
American Top Team AtlantaTeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
Cody Durden is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Matt Schnell carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1636
If they lose-13→ 1612
If they win+13→ 1619
If they lose-11→ 1595
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1676 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1674 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cody DurdenMatt Schnell
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cody Durden51%
Matt Schnell 49%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Cody Durden a 51% favorite over Matt Schnell in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Cody Durden holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1625 to 1606, a 19-point edge.
Matt Schnell enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Cody Durden finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Matt Schnell 69%.
Cody Durden and Matt Schnell share 1 common opponent: Alessandro Costa.
Matt Schnell carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.