Cody Durden vs Muhammad Mokaev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-10-1Record16-0-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'9"
67"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
American Top Team AtlantaTeamKHK MMA Team
What's at stake
Muhammad Mokaev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Cody Durden carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1654
If they lose-7→ 1630
If they win+9→ 1811
If they lose-23→ 1779
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1673 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1611 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cody DurdenMuhammad Mokaev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Muhammad Mokaev92%
Cody Durden 8%Elo baseline: 72%
The Combat Edge model makes Muhammad Mokaev a 92% favorite over Cody Durden in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).
Muhammad Mokaev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1802 to 1637, a 165-point edge.
Muhammad Mokaev enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Cody Durden finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Muhammad Mokaev 63%.
Cody Durden and Muhammad Mokaev share 2 common opponents: Jafel Filho and Charles Johnson.
Muhammad Mokaev carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.