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Combat Edge Intelligence

Cody Durden vs Tagir Ulanbekov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Cody Durden
us

Cody Durden

“Custom Made”

18-11-1FlyweightUFC

1625Solid

Tale of the tape

18-11-1Record17-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'7"
67"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
American Top Team AtlantaTeamEagles MMA· 1815 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

Tagir Ulanbekov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Cody Durden carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Cody DurdenNow 1625
If they win+16→ 1641
If they lose-8→ 1617
Tagir UlanbekovNow 1744
If they win+11→ 1755
If they lose-21→ 1723

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1677 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1645 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.24
Sig. strikes / min
3.37
45%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.94
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.36
51%
Strike defense
52%
3.99
Takedown avg.
2.94
10%
Takedown accuracy
39%
57%
Takedown defense
62%
0.65
Submission avg.
1.56

Trajectory

Cody DurdenTagir Ulanbekov
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (33%)
KO/TKO
1 (6%)
6 (33%)
Submission
8 (47%)
6 (33%)
Decision
8 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Tagir Ulanbekov66%
Cody Durden 34%Elo baseline: 66%

The Combat Edge model makes Tagir Ulanbekov a 66% favorite over Cody Durden in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).

Tagir Ulanbekov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1744 to 1625, a 119-point edge.

Cody Durden finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Tagir Ulanbekov 53%.

Cody Durden and Tagir Ulanbekov share 2 common opponents: Allan Nascimento and Bruno Silva.

Tagir Ulanbekov carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossSubmission · 2025
Allan Nascimento
WinDecision (split) · 2021
LossTKO · 2024
Bruno Silva
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2020