Combat Edge Intelligence

Cody East vs Curtis Blaydes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Cody East
us

Cody East

“The Freight Train”

16-7-0HeavyweightPF

1614Solid

Tale of the tape

16-7-0Record19-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'4"
74,0"Reach80"
261 lbsWeight256 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamElevation Fight Team

What's at stake

Curtis Blaydes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Cody East carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Cody EastNow 1614
If they win+23→ 1637
If they lose-9→ 1605
Curtis BlaydesNow 1768
If they win+7→ 1775
If they lose-17→ 1751

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1521 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1737 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.15
Sig. strikes / min
4.18
43%
Strike accuracy
52%
7.32
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.76
40%
Strike defense
54%
3.97
Takedown avg.
5.12
100%
Takedown accuracy
24%
17%
Takedown defense
35%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Cody EastCurtis Blaydes
16001700180020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (69%)
KO/TKO
13 (68%)
3 (19%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (13%)
Decision
6 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

Curtis Blaydes85%
Cody East 15%Elo baseline: 71%

The Combat Edge model makes Curtis Blaydes a 85% favorite over Cody East in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).

Curtis Blaydes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1768 to 1614, a 154-point edge.

Cody East enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Cody East finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Curtis Blaydes 68%.

Curtis Blaydes carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.