Cody Garbrandt vs Dominick Cruz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-8-0Record24-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'8"
65" Reach68"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team Alpha Male· 1646 avg Elo · 20 ratedTeamAlliance MMA· 1651 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Dominick Cruz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Cody Garbrandt carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+16→ 1686
If they lose-8→ 1662
If they win+8→ 1795
If they lose-16→ 1771
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1707 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1742 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Cody GarbrandtDominick Cruz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dominick Cruz53%
Cody Garbrandt 47%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Dominick Cruz a 53% favorite over Cody Garbrandt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Dominick Cruz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1787 to 1670, a 117-point edge.
Cody Garbrandt finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Dominick Cruz 33%.
Cody Garbrandt and Dominick Cruz share 1 common opponent: Pedro Munhoz.
Dominick Cruz carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.