Cody Garbrandt vs Marcus Brimage
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-8-0Record7-8-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'4"
65" ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 21 ratedTeam
What's at stake
Cody Garbrandt is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Marcus Brimage carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1679
If they lose-16→ 1655
If they win+22→ 1564
If they lose-10→ 1532
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1708 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1604 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cody GarbrandtMarcus Brimage
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cody Garbrandt73%
Marcus Brimage 27%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Cody Garbrandt a 73% favorite over Marcus Brimage in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Cody Garbrandt holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1671 to 1542, a 129-point edge.
Marcus Brimage enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Cody Garbrandt finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Marcus Brimage 43%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.