Combat Edge Intelligence

Cody Garbrandt vs Marcus Brimage

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-7-0Record7-8-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'4"
65" ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team Alpha MaleTeamTBD

What's at stake

Cody Garbrandt is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Marcus Brimage carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Cody GarbrandtNow 1690
If they win+10→ 1700
If they lose-22→ 1668
Marcus BrimageNow 1541
If they win+22→ 1563
If they lose-10→ 1531

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1716 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1601 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.79
Sig. strikes / min
3.97
40%
Strike accuracy
36%
3.66
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.64
59%
Strike defense
57%
0.85
Takedown avg.
0.56
23%
Takedown accuracy
100%
82%
Takedown defense
80%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Cody GarbrandtMarcus Brimage
155016001650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (73%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (27%)
Decision
4 (57%)

Combat Edge model read

Cody Garbrandt84%
Marcus Brimage 16%Elo baseline: 70%

The Combat Edge model makes Cody Garbrandt a 84% favorite over Marcus Brimage in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (70%).

Cody Garbrandt holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1690 to 1541, a 149-point edge.

Marcus Brimage enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Cody Garbrandt finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Marcus Brimage 43%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.