Cody Garbrandt vs Raoni Barcelos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-7-0Record22-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
65" Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team Alpha MaleTeamLaerte Barcelos Team
What's at stake
Raoni Barcelos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Cody Garbrandt carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1710
If they lose-12→ 1678
If they win+12→ 1792
If they lose-20→ 1760
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1716 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1708 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cody GarbrandtRaoni Barcelos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Raoni Barcelos73%
Cody Garbrandt 27%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Raoni Barcelos a 73% favorite over Cody Garbrandt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Raoni Barcelos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1780 to 1690, a 90-point edge.
Raoni Barcelos enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Cody Garbrandt finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Raoni Barcelos 50%.
Cody Garbrandt and Raoni Barcelos share 1 common opponent: Trevin Jones.
Raoni Barcelos carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.