Cody Garbrandt vs Raoni Barcelos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
15-8-0Record22-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
65" Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 20 ratedTeamLaerte Barcelos Team
What's at stake
Raoni Barcelos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Cody Garbrandt carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1686
If they lose-9→ 1662
If they win+9→ 1768
If they lose-15→ 1744
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1707 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1712 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Cody GarbrandtRaoni Barcelos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Raoni Barcelos52%
Cody Garbrandt 48%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Raoni Barcelos a 52% favorite over Cody Garbrandt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Raoni Barcelos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1759 to 1671, a 88-point edge.
Cody Garbrandt finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Raoni Barcelos 50%.
Cody Garbrandt and Raoni Barcelos share 1 common opponent: Trevin Jones.
Raoni Barcelos carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.