Cody Garbrandt vs Thomas Almeida
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
15-8-0Record22-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
65" ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team Alpha MaleTeamChute Boxe Diego Lima
What's at stake
Thomas Almeida is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Cody Garbrandt carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1684
If they lose-11→ 1660
If they win+11→ 1712
If they lose-13→ 1688
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1708 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1662 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cody GarbrandtThomas Almeida
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cody Garbrandt72%
Thomas Almeida 28%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Cody Garbrandt a 72% favorite over Thomas Almeida in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Thomas Almeida's way (46%).
Thomas Almeida holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1701 to 1671, a 30-point edge.
Thomas Almeida enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Cody Garbrandt finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Thomas Almeida 95%.
Cody Garbrandt and Thomas Almeida share 1 common opponent: Rob Font.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.