Cody Garbrandt vs Thomas Almeida
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-8-0Record22-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
65" ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team Alpha Male· 1646 avg Elo · 20 ratedTeamChute Boxe Diego Lima
What's at stake
Thomas Almeida is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Cody Garbrandt carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1683
If they lose-11→ 1659
If they win+11→ 1711
If they lose-13→ 1687
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1707 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1661 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Cody GarbrandtThomas Almeida
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Cody Garbrandt and Thomas Almeida within a point of even.
Thomas Almeida holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1700 to 1670, a 30-point edge.
Thomas Almeida enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Cody Garbrandt finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Thomas Almeida 95%.
Cody Garbrandt and Thomas Almeida share 1 common opponent: Rob Font.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.