Cody Garbrandt vs TJ Dillashaw
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
15-8-0Record17-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
65" Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 21 ratedTeamThe Treigning Lab
What's at stake
TJ Dillashaw is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Cody Garbrandt carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1686
If they lose-9→ 1662
If they win+12→ 1775
If they lose-20→ 1743
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1708 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1755 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cody GarbrandtTJ Dillashaw
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
TJ Dillashaw61%
Cody Garbrandt 39%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes TJ Dillashaw a 61% favorite over Cody Garbrandt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
TJ Dillashaw holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1763 to 1671, a 92-point edge.
Cody Garbrandt finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, TJ Dillashaw 65%.
Cody Garbrandt and TJ Dillashaw share 1 common opponent: Raphael Assunção.
TJ Dillashaw carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.