Cody Garbrandt vs Trevin Jones
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-8-0Record14-12-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
65" Reach70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team Alpha MaleTeamVida Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
Cody Garbrandt is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Trevin Jones carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1679
If they lose-16→ 1655
If they win+21→ 1575
If they lose-11→ 1543
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1708 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cody GarbrandtTrevin Jones
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cody Garbrandt92%
Trevin Jones 8%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Cody Garbrandt a 92% favorite over Trevin Jones in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Cody Garbrandt holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1671 to 1554, a 117-point edge.
Trevin Jones enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Cody Garbrandt finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Trevin Jones 50%.
Cody Garbrandt and Trevin Jones share 1 common opponent: Raoni Barcelos.
Trevin Jones carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.