Cody Gibson vs Luan Lacerda
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-13-0Record13-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'7"
71"Reach71"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Elite TeamTeamNova Uniao
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1665
If they lose-12→ 1641
If they win+16→ 1669
If they lose-16→ 1637
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1658 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1564 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cody GibsonLuan Lacerda
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luan Lacerda60%
Cody Gibson 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Luan Lacerda a 60% favorite over Cody Gibson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Cody Gibson's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1653 vs 1653), separated by just 0 points.
Cody Gibson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Cody Gibson finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Luan Lacerda 85%.
Cody Gibson and Luan Lacerda share 1 common opponent: Da'Mon Blackshear.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.