Combat Edge Intelligence

Cody Gibson vs Marlon Moraes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Cody Gibson
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Cody Gibson

“The Renegade”

21-13-0BantamweightUFC

1653Good

Tale of the tape

21-13-0Record23-13-1
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'6"
71"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Elite TeamTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cody GibsonNow 1653
If they win+12→ 1665
If they lose-12→ 1641
Marlon MoraesNow 1653
If they win+12→ 1665
If they lose-12→ 1641

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1658 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1732 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.63
Sig. strikes / min
3.37
46%
Strike accuracy
41%
3.22
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.53
58%
Strike defense
54%
2.12
Takedown avg.
0.87
14%
Takedown accuracy
42%
70%
Takedown defense
46%
0.61
Submission avg.
0.35

Trajectory

Cody GibsonMarlon Moraes
165017001750202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (33%)
KO/TKO
10 (43%)
5 (24%)
Submission
6 (26%)
9 (43%)
Decision
7 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Cody Gibson54%
Marlon Moraes 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Cody Gibson a 54% favorite over Marlon Moraes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1653 vs 1653), separated by just 0 points.

Cody Gibson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Marlon Moraes enters on a 8-fight loss streak.

Cody Gibson finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Marlon Moraes 70%.

Cody Gibson carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.