Combat Edge Intelligence

Cody McKenzie vs Jeremy Stephens

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-11-0Record29-23-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'9"
TBDReach71"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Warrior CampTeamAlliance MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cody McKenzieNow 1544
If they win+12→ 1556
If they lose-12→ 1532
Jeremy StephensNow 1551
If they win+12→ 1563
If they lose-12→ 1539

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1539 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1684 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.74
Sig. strikes / min
3.15
34%
Strike accuracy
41%
2.50
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.14
67%
Strike defense
59%
2.50
Takedown avg.
1.11
25%
Takedown accuracy
38%
14%
Takedown defense
62%
2.50
Submission avg.
0.37

Trajectory

Cody McKenzieJeremy Stephens
155020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (6%)
KO/TKO
19 (66%)
15 (88%)
Submission
2 (7%)
1 (6%)
Decision
8 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Jeremy Stephens52%
Cody McKenzie 48%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Jeremy Stephens a 52% favorite over Cody McKenzie in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1544 vs 1551), separated by just 7 points.

Jeremy Stephens enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Cody McKenzie finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Jeremy Stephens 72%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.