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Combat Edge Intelligence

Cody McKenzie vs Kevin Carrier

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

17-11-0Record5-3-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReach74"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cody McKenzieNow 1548
If they win+12→ 1560
If they lose-12→ 1536
Kevin CarrierNow 1548
If they win+24→ 1572
If they lose-24→ 1524

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1548 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.74
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
34%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.50
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
67%
Strike defense
Not available
2.50
Takedown avg.
Not available
25%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
14%
Takedown defense
Not available
2.50
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Cody McKenzieKevin Carrier
155020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (6%)
KO/TKO
1 (20%)
15 (88%)
Submission
3 (60%)
1 (6%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Cody McKenzie53%
Kevin Carrier 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Cody McKenzie a 53% favorite over Kevin Carrier in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1548 vs 1548), separated by just 0 points.

Cody McKenzie finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Carrier 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.