Combat Edge Intelligence

Cody McKenzie vs Leonard Garcia

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-11-0Record18-13-1
WelterweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight145 lbs
Warrior CampTeamJackson-Wink MMA

What's at stake

Leonard Garcia is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Cody McKenzie carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Cody McKenzieNow 1544
If they win+15→ 1559
If they lose-9→ 1535
Leonard GarciaNow 1619
If they win+9→ 1628
If they lose-15→ 1604

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1539 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1597 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.74
Sig. strikes / min
2.77
34%
Strike accuracy
25%
2.50
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.79
67%
Strike defense
53%
2.50
Takedown avg.
0.30
25%
Takedown accuracy
27%
14%
Takedown defense
42%
2.50
Submission avg.
0.53

Trajectory

Cody McKenzieLeonard Garcia
155016001650201320142015201620172018201920202021

Win method breakdown

1 (6%)
KO/TKO
5 (28%)
15 (88%)
Submission
10 (56%)
1 (6%)
Decision
3 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Leonard Garcia58%
Cody McKenzie 42%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Leonard Garcia a 58% favorite over Cody McKenzie in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Leonard Garcia holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1619 to 1544, a 75-point edge.

Leonard Garcia enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Cody McKenzie finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Leonard Garcia 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.