Combat Edge Intelligence

Cody McKenzie vs Sam Stout

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Sam Stout
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Sam Stout

“Hands of Stone”

20-12-1LightweightUFC

1594Solid

Tale of the tape

17-11-0Record20-12-1
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Warrior CampTeamTeam Tompkins

What's at stake

Sam Stout is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Cody McKenzie carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Cody McKenzieNow 1545
If they win+14→ 1559
If they lose-10→ 1535
Sam StoutNow 1594
If they win+10→ 1604
If they lose-14→ 1580

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1651 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.74
Sig. strikes / min
4.17
34%
Strike accuracy
29%
2.50
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.08
67%
Strike defense
57%
2.50
Takedown avg.
0.63
25%
Takedown accuracy
38%
14%
Takedown defense
78%
2.50
Submission avg.
0.13

Trajectory

Cody McKenzieSam Stout
155016001650201320142015201620172018201920202021

Win method breakdown

1 (6%)
KO/TKO
9 (45%)
15 (88%)
Submission
1 (5%)
1 (6%)
Decision
10 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Cody McKenzie and Sam Stout within a point of even.

Sam Stout holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1594 to 1545, a 49-point edge.

Sam Stout enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Cody McKenzie finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Sam Stout 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.