Combat Edge Intelligence

Cody Pfister vs James Moontasri

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-10-1Record9-5-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
73,0"Reach71,0"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Nick's Fight ClubTeamBlack House

What's at stake

James Moontasri is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Cody Pfister carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Cody PfisterNow 1570
If they win+14→ 1584
If they lose-10→ 1560
James MoontasriNow 1616
If they win+14→ 1630
If they lose-18→ 1598

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1597 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.41
Sig. strikes / min
2.39
26%
Strike accuracy
49%
2.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.86
52%
Strike defense
41%
2.82
Takedown avg.
0
31%
Takedown accuracy
0%
0%
Takedown defense
79%
0
Submission avg.
0.25

Trajectory

Cody PfisterJames Moontasri
1550160016502015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

4 (25%)
KO/TKO
4 (44%)
6 (38%)
Submission
3 (33%)
6 (38%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

James Moontasri67%
Cody Pfister 33%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes James Moontasri a 67% favorite over Cody Pfister in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

James Moontasri holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1616 to 1570, a 46-point edge.

Cody Pfister enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

James Moontasri enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Cody Pfister finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, James Moontasri 78%.

Cody Pfister carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.