Combat Edge Intelligence

Cody Pfister vs Patrik Šebek

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-10-1Record4-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height6'2"
73,0"Reach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Nick's Fight ClubTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cody PfisterNow 1570
If they win+12→ 1582
If they lose-12→ 1558
Patrik ŠebekNow 1571
If they win+24→ 1595
If they lose-24→ 1547

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.41
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
26%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
52%
Strike defense
TBD
2.82
Takedown avg.
TBD
31%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Cody PfisterPatrik Šebek
155016002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (25%)
KO/TKO
1 (25%)
6 (38%)
Submission
2 (50%)
6 (38%)
Decision
1 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Patrik Šebek60%
Cody Pfister 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Patrik Šebek a 60% favorite over Cody Pfister in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1570 vs 1571), separated by just 1 points.

Cody Pfister enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Cody Pfister finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Patrik Šebek 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.