Combat Edge Intelligence

Cody Pfister vs Scott Holtzman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-10-1Record14-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
73,0"Reach69"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Nick's Fight ClubTeamShield Systems

What's at stake

Scott Holtzman is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Cody Pfister carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Cody PfisterNow 1570
If they win+15→ 1585
If they lose-9→ 1561
Scott HoltzmanNow 1664
If they win+12→ 1676
If they lose-20→ 1644

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1684 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.41
Sig. strikes / min
4.32
26%
Strike accuracy
48%
2.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.66
52%
Strike defense
55%
2.82
Takedown avg.
1.88
31%
Takedown accuracy
57%
0%
Takedown defense
67%
0
Submission avg.
0.18

Trajectory

Cody PfisterScott Holtzman
15501600165017002021202220232024

Win method breakdown

4 (25%)
KO/TKO
5 (36%)
6 (38%)
Submission
2 (14%)
6 (38%)
Decision
7 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Scott Holtzman60%
Cody Pfister 40%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Scott Holtzman a 60% favorite over Cody Pfister in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Scott Holtzman holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1664 to 1570, a 94-point edge.

Cody Pfister enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Scott Holtzman enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Cody Pfister finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Scott Holtzman 50%.

Cody Pfister carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.