Colby Covington vs Logan Storley
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-5-0Record19-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'9"
72"Reach71"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
MMA MastersTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1781
If they lose-16→ 1749
If they win+16→ 1778
If they lose-16→ 1746
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1776 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1701 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Colby CovingtonLogan Storley
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Logan Storley57%
Colby Covington 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Logan Storley a 57% favorite over Colby Covington in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Colby Covington's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1765 vs 1762), separated by just 3 points.
Colby Covington enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Colby Covington finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Logan Storley 47%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.