Colby Covington vs Mike Pyle
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-5-0Record27-14-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
72"Reach74,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
MMA MastersTeamSyndicate MMA
What's at stake
Colby Covington is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Mike Pyle carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1777
If they lose-20→ 1745
If they win+15→ 1689
If they lose-9→ 1665
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1776 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1668 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Colby CovingtonMike Pyle
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Colby Covington83%
Mike Pyle 17%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Colby Covington a 83% favorite over Mike Pyle in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Colby Covington holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1765 to 1674, a 91-point edge.
Colby Covington enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Mike Pyle enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Colby Covington finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Mike Pyle 85%.
Mike Pyle carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.