Colby Covington vs Neil Magny
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-5-0Record32-14-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'3"
72"Reach80"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
MMA MastersTeamElevation Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1781
If they lose-16→ 1749
If they win+12→ 1780
If they lose-12→ 1756
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1776 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1734 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Colby CovingtonNeil Magny
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Neil Magny79%
Colby Covington 21%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Neil Magny a 79% favorite over Colby Covington in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1765 vs 1768), separated by just 3 points.
Colby Covington enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Colby Covington finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Neil Magny 47%.
Neil Magny carries a 8-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.