Combat Edge Intelligence

Colby Covington vs Wang Anying

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-5-0Record3-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
72"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
MMA MastersTeamPhuket Top Team

What's at stake

Colby Covington is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Wang Anying carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Colby CovingtonNow 1765
If they win+6→ 1771
If they lose-26→ 1739
Wang AnyingNow 1506
If they win+39→ 1545
If they lose-9→ 1497

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1776 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1550 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.81
Sig. strikes / min
1.32
38%
Strike accuracy
26%
3.09
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.63
55%
Strike defense
45%
3.64
Takedown avg.
0
43%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
69%
Takedown defense
33%
0.16
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Colby CovingtonWang Anying
15001600170018002015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

4 (24%)
KO/TKO
3 (100%)
4 (24%)
Submission
0 (0%)
9 (53%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Colby Covington72%
Wang Anying 28%Elo baseline: 82%

The Combat Edge model makes Colby Covington a 72% favorite over Wang Anying in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (82%).

Colby Covington holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1765 to 1506, a 259-point edge.

Colby Covington enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Colby Covington finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Wang Anying 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.