Combat Edge Intelligence

Colby Thicknesse vs Davey Grant

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Davey Grant

Davey Grant

“Dangerous”

18-8-0BantamweightUFC

1666Good

Tale of the tape

9-1-0Record18-8-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'8"
69"Reach69"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
Freestyle Fighting GymTeamSyndicate MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Colby ThicknesseNow 1667
If they win+16→ 1683
If they lose-16→ 1651
Davey GrantNow 1666
If they win+16→ 1682
If they lose-16→ 1650

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1531 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1691 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.33
Sig. strikes / min
5.14
42%
Strike accuracy
44%
2.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.82
50%
Strike defense
56%
1
Takedown avg.
1.03
9%
Takedown accuracy
40%
50%
Takedown defense
63%
0.50
Submission avg.
0.17

Trajectory

Colby ThicknesseDavey Grant
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (22%)
KO/TKO
4 (22%)
2 (22%)
Submission
9 (50%)
5 (56%)
Decision
5 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Colby Thicknesse and Davey Grant within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1667 vs 1666), separated by just 1 points.

Colby Thicknesse enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Colby Thicknesse finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Davey Grant 72%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.