Colby Thicknesse vs Jafel Filho
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
9-1-0Record17-5-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'9"Height5'7"
69"Reach68"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Freestyle Fighting Gym· 1729 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamNova Uniao
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1685
If they lose-16→ 1653
If they win+16→ 1686
If they lose-16→ 1654
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1534 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1615 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Colby ThicknesseJafel Filho
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jafel Filho54%
Colby Thicknesse 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jafel Filho a 54% favorite over Colby Thicknesse in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1669 vs 1670), separated by just 1 points.
Colby Thicknesse enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Colby Thicknesse finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Jafel Filho 94%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.