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Combat Edge Intelligence

Colby Thicknesse vs Magomed Magomedov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

9-1-0Record22-6-0
FlyweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'7"
69"Reach70"
125 lbsWeight137 lbs
Freestyle Fighting Gym· 1729 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamDagFighter· 1716 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Colby ThicknesseNow 1669
If they win+16→ 1685
If they lose-16→ 1653
Magomed MagomedovNow 1670
If they win+12→ 1682
If they lose-12→ 1658

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1534 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1728 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.33
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
42%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
50%
Strike defense
Not available
1
Takedown avg.
Not available
9%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
50%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.50
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Colby ThicknesseMagomed Magomedov
16001650170020252026

Win method breakdown

2 (22%)
KO/TKO
4 (18%)
2 (22%)
Submission
10 (45%)
5 (56%)
Decision
8 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Magomed Magomedov60%
Colby Thicknesse 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Magomed Magomedov a 60% favorite over Colby Thicknesse in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1669 vs 1670), separated by just 1 points.

Colby Thicknesse enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Colby Thicknesse finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Magomed Magomedov 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.