Combat Edge Intelligence

Colby Thicknesse vs Serhiy Sidey

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-1-0Record12-2-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'10"
69"Reach72"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
Freestyle Fighting GymTeamBurlington Training Centre

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Colby ThicknesseNow 1667
If they win+16→ 1683
If they lose-16→ 1651
Serhiy SideyNow 1665
If they win+16→ 1681
If they lose-16→ 1649

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1531 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1546 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.33
Sig. strikes / min
4.87
42%
Strike accuracy
39%
2.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.44
50%
Strike defense
53%
1
Takedown avg.
0
9%
Takedown accuracy
0%
50%
Takedown defense
20%
0.50
Submission avg.
1.39

Trajectory

Colby ThicknesseSerhiy Sidey
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (22%)
KO/TKO
7 (58%)
2 (22%)
Submission
1 (8%)
5 (56%)
Decision
4 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Colby Thicknesse60%
Serhiy Sidey 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Colby Thicknesse a 60% favorite over Serhiy Sidey in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1667 vs 1665), separated by just 2 points.

Colby Thicknesse enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Serhiy Sidey enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Colby Thicknesse finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Serhiy Sidey 67%.

Serhiy Sidey carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.