Colby Thicknesse vs Stephen Loman
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-1-0Record17-4-0
FlyweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'7"
69"Reach67.7"
125 lbsWeight137 lbs
Freestyle Fighting Gym· 1739 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamTeam Lakay
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1701
If they lose-16→ 1669
If they win+16→ 1701
If they lose-16→ 1669
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Colby ThicknesseStephen Loman
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Colby Thicknesse68%
Stephen Loman 32%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Colby Thicknesse a 68% favorite over Stephen Loman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1685 vs 1685), separated by just 0 points.
Colby Thicknesse enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Stephen Loman enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Colby Thicknesse finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Stephen Loman 47%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.