Combat Edge Intelligence

Cole Escovedo vs Renan Barão

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Renan Barão
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Renan Barão

“The Baron”

34-10-0BantamweightGFL

1598Solid

Tale of the tape

17-9-0Record34-10-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
TBDReach70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Pacific Martial ArtsTeamPitbull Brothers

What's at stake

Cole Escovedo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Renan Barão carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Cole EscovedoNow 1636
If they win+11→ 1647
If they lose-13→ 1623
Renan BarãoNow 1598
If they win+18→ 1616
If they lose-14→ 1584

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1600 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1643 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.77
Sig. strikes / min
3.78
43%
Strike accuracy
37%
4.32
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.90
49%
Strike defense
58%
0.43
Takedown avg.
1.49
33%
Takedown accuracy
42%
13%
Takedown defense
91%
0
Submission avg.
0.54

Trajectory

Cole EscovedoRenan Barão
16001650170020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

7 (41%)
KO/TKO
8 (24%)
9 (53%)
Submission
15 (44%)
1 (6%)
Decision
11 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Cole Escovedo and Renan Barão within a point of even.

Cole Escovedo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1636 to 1598, a 38-point edge.

Cole Escovedo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Renan Barão enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Cole Escovedo finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Renan Barão 68%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.