Combat Edge Intelligence

Cole Miller vs Dan Lauzon

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Cole Miller
us

Cole Miller

“Magrinho”

21-11-0FeatherweightUFC

1580Solid
Dan Lauzon
us

Dan Lauzon

“The Upgrade”

17-6-0WelterweightCES

1638Solid

Tale of the tape

21-11-0Record17-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'10"
74,0"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Top TeamTeamLauzon MMA

What's at stake

Dan Lauzon is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Cole Miller carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Cole MillerNow 1580
If they win+14→ 1594
If they lose-10→ 1570
Dan LauzonNow 1638
If they win+13→ 1651
If they lose-19→ 1619

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1639 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3
Sig. strikes / min
1.54
33%
Strike accuracy
29%
3.88
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.97
59%
Strike defense
62%
0.60
Takedown avg.
1.98
36%
Takedown accuracy
43%
39%
Takedown defense
80%
1.79
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Cole MillerDan Lauzon
160016501700201420152016

Win method breakdown

3 (14%)
KO/TKO
9 (53%)
15 (71%)
Submission
7 (41%)
3 (14%)
Decision
1 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

Dan Lauzon72%
Cole Miller 28%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Dan Lauzon a 72% favorite over Cole Miller in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Dan Lauzon holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1638 to 1580, a 58-point edge.

Cole Miller enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Dan Lauzon enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Cole Miller finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Dan Lauzon 94%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.