Cole Miller vs Jeremy Stephens
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-11-0Record29-23-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'9"
74,0"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamAlliance MMA
What's at stake
Cole Miller is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Jeremy Stephens carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1591
If they lose-13→ 1567
If they win+13→ 1564
If they lose-11→ 1540
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1639 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1684 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cole MillerJeremy Stephens
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jeremy Stephens56%
Cole Miller 44%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Jeremy Stephens a 56% favorite over Cole Miller in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Cole Miller's way (46%).
Cole Miller holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1580 to 1551, a 29-point edge.
Cole Miller enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Jeremy Stephens enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Cole Miller finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Jeremy Stephens 72%.
Cole Miller carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.