Cole Miller vs Jorge Gurgel
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-11-0Record14-10-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'9"
74,0"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight154 lbs
American Top TeamTeamTeam Jorge Gurgel
What's at stake
Cole Miller is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Jorge Gurgel carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1591
If they lose-13→ 1567
If they win+17→ 1581
If they lose-15→ 1549
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1639 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1620 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cole MillerJorge Gurgel
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cole Miller56%
Jorge Gurgel 44%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Cole Miller a 56% favorite over Jorge Gurgel in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Cole Miller holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1580 to 1564, a 16-point edge.
Cole Miller enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Jorge Gurgel enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Cole Miller finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Jorge Gurgel 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.