Combat Edge Intelligence

Cole Miller vs Leonard Garcia

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Cole Miller
us

Cole Miller

“Magrinho”

21-11-0FeatherweightUFC

1580Solid

Tale of the tape

21-11-0Record18-13-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'1"Height5'9"
74,0"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
American Top TeamTeamJackson-Wink MMA

What's at stake

Leonard Garcia is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Cole Miller carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Cole MillerNow 1580
If they win+13→ 1593
If they lose-11→ 1569
Leonard GarciaNow 1619
If they win+11→ 1630
If they lose-13→ 1606

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1639 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1597 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3
Sig. strikes / min
2.77
33%
Strike accuracy
25%
3.88
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.79
59%
Strike defense
53%
0.60
Takedown avg.
0.30
36%
Takedown accuracy
27%
39%
Takedown defense
42%
1.79
Submission avg.
0.53

Trajectory

Cole MillerLeonard Garcia
160016502013201420152016

Win method breakdown

3 (14%)
KO/TKO
5 (28%)
15 (71%)
Submission
10 (56%)
3 (14%)
Decision
3 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Leonard Garcia58%
Cole Miller 42%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Leonard Garcia a 58% favorite over Cole Miller in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Leonard Garcia holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1619 to 1580, a 39-point edge.

Cole Miller enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Leonard Garcia enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Cole Miller finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Leonard Garcia 83%.

Cole Miller and Leonard Garcia share 2 common opponents: Max Holloway and Nam Phan.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossDecision - Unanimous · 2015
Max Holloway
LossDecision - Split · 2012
LossDecision - Split · 2012
Nam Phan
LossDecision - Unanimous · 2011