
Cole Miller vs Leonard Garcia
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
What's at stake
Leonard Garcia is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Cole Miller carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model makes Leonard Garcia a 58% favorite over Cole Miller in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Leonard Garcia holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1619 to 1580, a 39-point edge.
Cole Miller enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Leonard Garcia enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Cole Miller finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Leonard Garcia 83%.
Cole Miller and Leonard Garcia share 2 common opponents: Max Holloway and Nam Phan.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.