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Combat Edge Intelligence

Cole Miller vs Matt Wiman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Cole Miller
us

Cole Miller

“Magrinho”

21-11-0FeatherweightUFC

1592Solid
Matt Wiman
us

Matt Wiman

“Handsome”

16-10-0LightweightUFC

1604Solid

Tale of the tape

21-11-0Record16-10-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'10"
74,0"Reach68,0"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamSkrap Pack

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cole MillerNow 1592
If they win+12→ 1604
If they lose-12→ 1580
Matt WimanNow 1604
If they win+12→ 1616
If they lose-12→ 1592

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1619 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1638 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3
Sig. strikes / min
3.17
33%
Strike accuracy
50%
3.88
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.57
59%
Strike defense
51%
0.60
Takedown avg.
2.13
36%
Takedown accuracy
38%
39%
Takedown defense
56%
1.79
Submission avg.
1.54

Trajectory

Cole MillerMatt Wiman
16001650201520162017201820192020

Win method breakdown

3 (14%)
KO/TKO
4 (25%)
15 (71%)
Submission
5 (31%)
3 (14%)
Decision
7 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Cole Miller60%
Matt Wiman 40%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Cole Miller a 60% favorite over Matt Wiman in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Matt Wiman's way (48%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1592 vs 1604), separated by just 12 points.

Cole Miller enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Matt Wiman enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Cole Miller finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Matt Wiman 56%.

Cole Miller carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.