Cole Miller vs Max Holloway
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-11-0Record28-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'11"
74,0"Reach69"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamGracie Technics
What's at stake
Max Holloway is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Cole Miller carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1599
If they lose-5→ 1575
If they win+5→ 1835
If they lose-19→ 1811
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1639 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1791 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cole MillerMax Holloway
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Max Holloway92%
Cole Miller 8%Elo baseline: 81%
The Combat Edge model makes Max Holloway a 92% favorite over Cole Miller in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (81%).
Max Holloway holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1830 to 1580, a 250-point edge.
Cole Miller enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Cole Miller finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Max Holloway 54%.
Cole Miller carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.