Cole Miller vs Mizuto Hirota
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
21-11-0Record18-11-2
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'7"
74,0"Reach67,5"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamCave
What's at stake
Mizuto Hirota is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Cole Miller carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1593
If they lose-11→ 1569
If they win+11→ 1629
If they lose-13→ 1605
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1639 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1586 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cole MillerMizuto Hirota
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mizuto Hirota53%
Cole Miller 47%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Mizuto Hirota a 53% favorite over Cole Miller in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Mizuto Hirota holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1618 to 1580, a 38-point edge.
Cole Miller enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Mizuto Hirota enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Cole Miller finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Mizuto Hirota 56%.
Cole Miller carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.