Combat Edge Intelligence

Cole Miller vs Sam Sicilia

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Cole Miller
us

Cole Miller

“Magrinho”

21-11-0FeatherweightUFC

1580Solid

Tale of the tape

21-11-0Record18-11-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'1"Height5'8"
74,0"Reach67,0"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
American Top TeamTeamSikjitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cole MillerNow 1580
If they win+12→ 1592
If they lose-12→ 1568
Sam SiciliaNow 1574
If they win+12→ 1586
If they lose-12→ 1562

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1639 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1604 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3
Sig. strikes / min
2.46
33%
Strike accuracy
34%
3.88
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.55
59%
Strike defense
59%
0.60
Takedown avg.
1.45
36%
Takedown accuracy
43%
39%
Takedown defense
70%
1.79
Submission avg.
0.87

Trajectory

Cole MillerSam Sicilia
155016002015201620172018201920202021

Win method breakdown

3 (14%)
KO/TKO
9 (50%)
15 (71%)
Submission
4 (22%)
3 (14%)
Decision
5 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Cole Miller and Sam Sicilia within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1580 vs 1574), separated by just 6 points.

Cole Miller enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Cole Miller finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Sam Sicilia 72%.

Cole Miller carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.