Combat Edge Intelligence

Cole Smith vs Garrett Armfield

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Cole Smith
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Cole Smith

“The Cole Train”

7-3-0BantamweightXMMA

1592Solid

Tale of the tape

7-3-0Record10-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'11"Height5'7"
41,0"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team Quest ThailandTeamSpringfield Fight Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Cole SmithNow 1592
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576
Garrett ArmfieldNow 1592
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1555 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1595 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.78
Sig. strikes / min
5.35
35%
Strike accuracy
54%
1.96
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.64
50%
Strike defense
56%
1.67
Takedown avg.
1.10
33%
Takedown accuracy
50%
45%
Takedown defense
65%
1.67
Submission avg.
0.55

Trajectory

Cole SmithGarrett Armfield
1600165020202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

2 (29%)
KO/TKO
6 (60%)
3 (43%)
Submission
2 (20%)
2 (29%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Garrett Armfield59%
Cole Smith 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Garrett Armfield a 59% favorite over Cole Smith in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Cole Smith's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1592 vs 1592), separated by just 0 points.

Cole Smith enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Garrett Armfield enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Cole Smith finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Garrett Armfield 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.