Combat Edge Intelligence

Cole Smith vs Hunter Azure

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Cole Smith
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Cole Smith

“The Cole Train”

7-3-0BantamweightXMMA

1592Solid

Tale of the tape

7-3-0Record11-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'11"Height5'8"
41,0"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team Quest ThailandTeamFight Ready

What's at stake

Hunter Azure is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Cole Smith carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Cole SmithNow 1592
If they win+18→ 1610
If they lose-14→ 1578
Hunter AzureNow 1627
If they win+14→ 1641
If they lose-18→ 1609

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1555 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.78
Sig. strikes / min
3.92
35%
Strike accuracy
53%
1.96
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.08
50%
Strike defense
59%
1.67
Takedown avg.
1.97
33%
Takedown accuracy
35%
45%
Takedown defense
68%
1.67
Submission avg.
1.31

Trajectory

Cole SmithHunter Azure
1600165020202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

2 (29%)
KO/TKO
4 (36%)
3 (43%)
Submission
1 (9%)
2 (29%)
Decision
6 (55%)

Combat Edge model read

Hunter Azure70%
Cole Smith 30%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Hunter Azure a 70% favorite over Cole Smith in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Hunter Azure holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1627 to 1592, a 35-point edge.

Cole Smith enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Cole Smith finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Hunter Azure 45%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.