Cole Smith vs Miles Johns
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-3-0Record16-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'11"Height5'7"
41,0"Reach66"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team Quest ThailandTeamMarathon MMA· 1669 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Miles Johns is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Cole Smith carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1614
If they lose-10→ 1582
If they win+10→ 1728
If they lose-22→ 1696
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1555 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1679 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cole SmithMiles Johns
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Miles Johns92%
Cole Smith 8%Elo baseline: 67%
The Combat Edge model makes Miles Johns a 92% favorite over Cole Smith in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
Miles Johns holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1718 to 1592, a 126-point edge.
Cole Smith enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Cole Smith finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Miles Johns 44%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.