Cole Williams vs Jason Witt
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-3-0Record19-9-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'10"
39,0"Reach70"
170 lbsWeight180 lbs
Chosen Few GymTeamGlory MMA & Fitness
What's at stake
Cole Williams is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Jason Witt carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1648
If they lose-18→ 1616
If they win+13→ 1608
If they lose-11→ 1584
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1525 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1582 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Cole WilliamsJason Witt
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jason Witt62%
Cole Williams 38%Elo baseline: 44%
The Combat Edge model makes Jason Witt a 62% favorite over Cole Williams in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Cole Williams's way (44%).
Cole Williams holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1634 to 1595, a 39-point edge.
Cole Williams enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jason Witt enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Cole Williams finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Jason Witt 61%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.