Combat Edge Intelligence

Colin Fletcher vs Mike Ricci

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mike Ricci
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Mike Ricci

“The Accountant”

11-5-0LightweightWSOF

1615Solid

Tale of the tape

16-10-0Record11-5-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'2"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Unity GymTeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

Mike Ricci is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Colin Fletcher carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Colin FletcherNow 1542
If they win+14→ 1556
If they lose-10→ 1532
Mike RicciNow 1615
If they win+13→ 1628
If they lose-19→ 1596

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1503 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.10
Sig. strikes / min
1.80
35%
Strike accuracy
32%
2.97
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.64
62%
Strike defense
66%
0
Takedown avg.
0.67
0%
Takedown accuracy
100%
27%
Takedown defense
54%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Colin FletcherMike Ricci
1550160020142015201620172018

Win method breakdown

1 (6%)
KO/TKO
6 (55%)
11 (69%)
Submission
1 (9%)
4 (25%)
Decision
4 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Mike Ricci75%
Colin Fletcher 25%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Mike Ricci a 75% favorite over Colin Fletcher in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Mike Ricci holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1615 to 1542, a 73-point edge.

Colin Fletcher finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Mike Ricci 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.