Colin Fletcher vs Nonato Junior
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-10-0Record20-14-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height5'7"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight161 lbs
Unity GymTeamGameness Fight Club
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1556
If they lose-12→ 1532
If they win+12→ 1556
If they lose-12→ 1532
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1508 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1594 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Colin FletcherNonato Junior
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nonato Junior70%
Colin Fletcher 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Nonato Junior a 70% favorite over Colin Fletcher in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Colin Fletcher's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1544 vs 1544), separated by just 0 points.
Colin Fletcher finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Nonato Junior 90%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.